Posts Tagged ‘Victoria real estate forecast’

The Victoria fall real estate market 2026 is shaping up to be active but balanced. August sales were stronger than a year ago, inventory remains healthy, and buyers continue to have enough choice to be selective. That combination matters. We are seeing more activity, but not the conditions that would suggest a return to the highly competitive market of a few years ago. If current trends continue, this fall could create opportunities on both sides: buyers should continue to have selection, while properly priced and well-presented homes can still attract strong interest. What Are Current Victoria Real Estate Trends Telling Us? According to the Victoria Real Estate Board’s August 2026 market report, 591 properties sold across Greater Victoria in August, 12.6% more than August 2025. Single-family home sales increased 15.3% year over year, while condominium sales increased 15.1%. At the same time, there were 3,662 active listings at the end of August. That was 1.7% more than a year earlier, even after inventory declined 4.8% from July. VREB described current conditions as a stable, balanced market. The important part is the combination: Sales are stronger than last year Inventory remains relatively healthy Buyers still have choices Good properties are selling Overpriced listings can still sit That gives us a useful starting point for what the fall market may look like. Will the Victoria Fall Real Estate Market 2026 Be Busier? We expect September and October to remain active, particularly if the momentum from August carries forward. Fall often brings buyers and sellers back into the market after summer travel and vacations. This year, that seasonal shift is starting from a stronger sales base than we saw at the same time last year. However, stronger activity does not automatically mean a seller's market. With more than 3,600 active listings at the end of August, buyers still have alternatives. That means the better description may be: More activity, without widespread urgency. Earlier this summer, we looked at this decision from the buyer's perspective in Should Victoria Buyers Buy Now or Wait Until Fall?. The same principle still applies: waiting only makes sense if something about your personal situation or the available market is likely to improve. Buyers Should Still Have Good Selection Inventory has been one of the defining features of the 2026 Victoria market. Buyers have considerably more opportunity to compare properties than they did during the extremely tight markets of previous years. That means buyers can spend more time comparing: Location Price Property condition Floor plan Strata fees Parking and storage Renovation requirements Days on market Recent comparable sales More inventory does not mean every property is negotiable. However, it does mean buyers often have an alternative if one seller's price or terms do not make sense. For buyers trying to establish a realistic budget before shopping this fall, our guide on how much income you need to buy a home in Victoria breaks down several common Greater Victoria price points and mortgage qualification scenarios. Well-Priced Homes Could Still Sell Quickly One of the biggest misconceptions about a balanced market is that everything sells slowly. That is not what we are seeing. A well-priced home in a desirable location can still generate strong activity, particularly when it compares favourably with competing listings. Consider two similar properties. One launches at a price supported by recent comparable sales, is professionally presented, and is easy for buyers to view. The other enters the market above recent sales because the seller wants to "leave room to negotiate." Buyers now have enough inventory to recognize the difference. Instead of negotiating with the overpriced seller, they may simply buy the better-valued property. This is why the Victoria fall real estate market 2026 could feel competitive for some sellers and slow for others at exactly the same time. Do We Expect Victoria Home Prices to Rise This Fall? A major short-term price increase is not the trend we would plan around. Current conditions point more toward relative price stability than either a rapid increase or significant correction. Healthy inventory limits some of the pressure that normally drives prices quickly higher. At the same time, stronger year-over-year sales suggest there is still meaningful demand in the market. That creates a middle ground. Rather than focusing on whether "Victoria prices" are moving up or down, buyers and sellers should pay closer attention to their specific segment. A detached home in Oak Bay can behave differently from: A downtown Victoria condo A Langford townhouse A new-build condo A family home in Colwood An older Saanich property requiring renovations Greater Victoria is not one market. It is a collection of smaller markets that can behave differently at the same time. Could Condos See More Activity This Fall? Condos are one segment worth watching closely. VREB reported 175 condominium sales in August, up 15.1% from August 2025. That does not guarantee the condo market will strengthen throughout the fall, but the year-over-year improvement is encouraging. Condo buyers are still able to compare similar listings based on factors such as: Strata fees Building condition Depreciation reports Parking Storage Orientation Floor plan Building age Upcoming assessments Location As a result, individual units can perform very differently even within the same building. A good floor plan, desirable exposure, parking, storage, reasonable strata fees, and competitive pricing can matter more than broad condo-market headlines. What Do Interest Rates Mean for the Fall Market? Interest rates remain another important piece of the fall outlook. On September 2, the Bank of Canada held its policy interest rate at 2.25%. The rate has remained at that level since late 2025. For buyers, that provides more stability than a market where borrowing costs are changing rapidly. However, economic uncertainty has not disappeared. The Bank of Canada continues to monitor inflation, economic growth, tariffs, energy prices, and broader global conditions. That means buyers should be careful about building their purchase strategy around predictions of significantly lower mortgage rates. A better approach is to buy based on a monthly payment you can comfortably manage today. What Does BCREA Expect From the B.C. Housing Market? The broader provincial outlook also supports the idea of a gradual market recovery rather than a dramatic surge. In its 2026 Third Quarter Housing Forecast, the British Columbia Real Estate Association forecast B.C. MLS® residential sales to decline 1.2% overall in 2026 before increasing 7.5% in 2027. That forecast reinforces an important point. The market does not need to boom for conditions to improve. A period of stable prices, healthy inventory and gradually improving sales activity can create a healthier environment for both buyers and sellers. Expect More Negotiation on Listings That Have Been Sitting Fall could provide good negotiating opportunities, but buyers need to know where to look. A new listing that is priced correctly may leave very little room for negotiation. A property that has been on the market for 40, 60 or 90 days may be a different conversation. Buyers should look for: Longer days on market Previous price reductions Vacant properties Sellers with specific timing needs Listings competing against several similar homes Properties requiring renovations or updates Price is also not the only part of an offer worth negotiating. Our guide to what buyers should negotiate beyond the purchase price looks at deposits, subjects, possession dates, included items, due diligence periods and other terms that can materially affect a purchase. What Could Change the Victoria Fall Real Estate Market 2026? There are three major trends we will be watching throughout the fall. 1. Inventory If sales remain strong while fewer new listings reach the market, conditions could gradually become more competitive. Inventory also typically declines as we move toward winter, so the relationship between new listings and sales will matter more than either number on its own. 2. Interest Rates Mortgage affordability will continue to influence buyer purchasing power. Even modest changes in mortgage rates can affect monthly payments and the price range buyers are comfortable considering. 3. Buyer Confidence Real estate decisions are not based on numbers alone. Employment, economic uncertainty, trade conditions, inflation and consumer confidence can all affect whether buyers decide to move forward or wait. These forces are one reason we prefer using current market evidence rather than making aggressive predictions about where prices will be several months from now. What Should Buyers Expect This Fall? For buyers, this fall could offer a useful balance between selection and activity. There should still be opportunities to compare listings, conduct proper due diligence and negotiate when a property has been sitting. However, buyers should not assume every listing will eventually reduce its price. When a well-priced home appears in a desirable location, being prepared matters. Before actively shopping, buyers should ideally have: Financing organized A comfortable monthly budget established Target neighbourhoods identified Clear priorities An understanding of recent comparable sales A strategy for writing an offer if the right property appears You can also explore our current Greater Victoria developments if new construction or pre-sale opportunities are part of your search. What Should Sellers Expect This Fall? Sellers may benefit from increased fall activity, but buyers are unlikely to overlook poor positioning simply because more people are searching. Before listing, sellers should understand: What is currently for sale nearby What recently sold Which competing listings reduced their prices How their home compares in condition Which price range reaches the largest buyer pool Whether similar homes are selling or sitting The first few weeks of a listing remain extremely important. A seller who starts too high may spend the strongest period of buyer attention chasing the market downward later. Our Victoria Fall Real Estate Market 2026 Outlook Based on the trends available today, we expect the fall market to be characterized by: Steady sales activity Healthy buyer selection Relatively stable prices Continued buyer selectiveness Strong activity around well-priced homes More negotiating power on stale or overpriced listings Gradually declining inventory as winter approaches Significant differences between neighbourhoods and property types The strongest signal from the current market is not that buyers or sellers clearly have the upper hand. Instead, the advantage increasingly belongs to whoever understands the specific property and micro-market better. Planning a Move in Greater Victoria This Fall? Market statistics are a useful starting point, but they do not tell you whether a specific home in Langford, Saanich, Oak Bay, Victoria, Colwood or View Royal is priced correctly. If you are considering buying or selling this fall, our team can break the market down by neighbourhood, property type, price range, recent comparable sales and current competition. You can also learn more about our approach on our Buy With Us page or Sell With Us page. The fall market may create opportunities, but the best strategy is not trying to predict every move the market will make. It is understanding today's conditions well enough to recognize a good decision when it appears.   Cammie J., 5-Star Review, via Google “I can’t say enough good things about working with Scott and Sophie at Faber Real Estate Group. Their communication was fantastic from start to finish, and they patiently worked with us for six months while we looked for a very specific type of house in a specific area of town. We found our perfect house because Scott knew it was coming on the market, which speaks to their experience and local knowledge. They were professional, responsive, informed, and always followed through. They also continued to support us after the sale, helping with contacts, moving-day details, paperwork, and making sure everything went smoothly. They made the whole experience feel positive and well supported. I cannot recommend Scott and Sophie enough.!”   Faber Real Estate Group Royal LePage Coast Capital Realty 📞 250-244-3430 📧 [email protected] ℹ️ Scott Faber Personal Real Estate Corporation ℹ️ Cal Faber Personal Real Estate Corporation Vanessa Wood, Zachary Parsons, and Sophie Taylor “Building Lasting Relationships, One Home at a Time.”

The May 2026 Victoria real estate market is likely to feel active, balanced, and competitive in selective pockets. April gave us a useful preview: sales improved from March, inventory continued to rise, and prices remained relatively steady. That combination usually creates a market where buyers have more choice, but sellers still have opportunity if they are priced properly from day one. According to the Victoria Real Estate Board, 643 properties sold in April 2026, which was 0.2% higher than April 2025 and 11.1% higher than March 2026. Active listings reached 3,710 at the end of April, up 13.8% from March and 8.3% from April 2025. In plain terms, more homes are available, but buyers are still participating. May Should Continue to Give Buyers More Choice May is typically one of the more active months of the spring market. Based on April’s increase in active listings, buyers should expect more selection across many property types and price points. That does not mean every listing will be a deal. It means buyers may have more room to compare homes, review options, and make decisions with less pressure than they would in a tight seller’s market. For buyers, May may bring: More new listings coming to market More ability to compare similar homes Less urgency on some properties Continued competition for well-priced homes in desirable locations More negotiating room on listings that are overpriced, dated, or sitting longer The key is not simply finding the lowest price. The better strategy is finding the right combination of location, condition, price, and long-term fit. Sellers Should Expect More Competition For sellers, May will likely be less forgiving than past spring markets where limited inventory did much of the work. With more active listings available, buyers have options. That means sellers need to be realistic about pricing, presentation, and timing. A home can still sell well in this type of market, but it needs a clear strategy. In May, sellers should pay close attention to: How many competing listings are active nearby How quickly similar homes are selling Whether buyers are booking showings early Feedback after the first week on market Price adjustments from competing sellers The first two weeks matter. If a listing launches too high, buyers may wait, compare, or move on to a better-positioned property. Prices Are Likely to Stay Relatively Stable The April benchmark numbers suggest stability rather than a sharp move in either direction. The Victoria Core single family benchmark price was $1,339,100 in April 2026, down 1.2% from April 2025 but up from March. The Victoria Core condo benchmark was $558,300, down 0.8% year over year but also up from March. That pattern matters. Prices are not surging, but they are also not falling dramatically across the board. May will likely continue that trend, with stronger pricing for homes that show well and more pressure on listings that feel overpriced compared with the rest of the market. The Market Will Feel Different by Neighbourhood May will not feel the same everywhere in Greater Victoria. A well-priced family home in Saanich may attract strong attention, while a dated condo with high strata fees may move more slowly. A townhome in the Westshore may compete differently than a character home in Fairfield or a new construction condo in Langford. This is why broad market headlines can be misleading. The real story in May will come down to micro-markets. Buyers and sellers should look closely at: Property type Neighbourhood Price range Days on market Condition Strata health, if applicable Recent comparable sales The overall market may be balanced, but each segment can behave differently. What Buyers Should Do in May Buyers should use May’s inventory carefully. More choice is helpful, but it can also create second-guessing. A practical approach is to separate homes into three categories: Strong fit: good location, fair price, solid condition Possible fit: good potential, but with tradeoffs Poor fit: too much compromise for the price This helps buyers stay focused. It also makes it easier to act when the right home appears. Buyers should also be ready before viewing homes. That means having financing reviewed, understanding closing costs, and knowing which conditions matter most before writing an offer. What Sellers Should Do in May Sellers should treat May as a strategy market, not a guessing market. The best results will likely come from homes that are: Priced against current competition Clean, prepared, and easy to show Marketed with strong photos and clear positioning Adjusted quickly if feedback shows resistance Presented with confidence, but not overconfidence In a market with more inventory, buyers notice the details. Small issues can create hesitation, especially when they have other homes to compare. The Bottom Line The May 2026 Victoria real estate market should remain balanced, active, and choice-driven. Buyers may have more room to think, but strong properties will still move. Sellers may still achieve good results, but only if their pricing and presentation match current market conditions. May will reward preparation on both sides. Buyers should be ready to act when value appears. Sellers should be ready to compete from the first day on market. If you are planning to buy or sell in Greater Victoria this spring, reach out to Faber Real Estate Group for advice based on your neighbourhood, property type, and timing.   Debbie N., 5-Star Review, via Google “From start to finish, Scott and Cal were amazing to work with. I hadn't moved in nearly 22 years and going from a house to a condo was a very difficult decision, but they were amazingly patient and responsive to my needs. This team doesn't just say that they care, they actually do. I couldn't have done this without them. I would recommend them to anyone. You will be in the best hands. Thank you Faber Group!!!” Faber Real Estate GroupRoyal LePage Coast Capital Realty📞 250-244-3430📧 [email protected]ℹ️ Scott Faber Personal Real Estate Corporationℹ️ Cal Faber Personal Real Estate CorporationVanessa Wood, Zachary Parsons, and Sophie Taylor“Building Lasting Relationships, One Home at a Time.”

The Greater Victoria real estate market continued to show signs of stability and steady activity in February 2026. According to the Victoria Real Estate Board, 465 properties sold across the region, representing a 37.2 percent increase from January, though still 11.9 percent lower than February 2025. While year-over-year comparisons show some moderation, the strong month-to-month growth indicates that buyers are returning to the market as we move toward the spring season. Inventory is also expanding, giving buyers more options than they have seen in recent years. Active listings rose to 2,903 properties, up 10.6 percent from January and 10.4 percent higher than the same time last year. For many buyers and sellers, this signals a shift toward a more balanced real estate environment where neither side holds a dramatic advantage. Local REALTOR® Scott Faber notes that the Victoria market continues to behave differently than many larger Canadian markets. “There’s a lot of noise coming out of Vancouver and Toronto,” Scott Faber says. “However, our market here is very stable and resilient compared to other markets across Canada.” Insights for Buyers For buyers entering the market this spring, the increased inventory is creating more breathing room to explore options and make thoughtful decisions. With nearly three thousand active listings available, buyers can take time to compare homes, neighbourhoods, and property types more carefully than they could during the intense competition of previous years. Scott Faber explains that condominiums may offer particular opportunity right now. “If you’re a buyer looking for a condo this spring, this is definitely a good time to explore those options,” Scott Faber says. “Especially for downsizers or first-time homebuyers, there’s a lot of choice available and mortgage rates have come down significantly compared to last year.” However, the single-family home segment remains competitive in certain price ranges. Scott Faber notes that homes under $1.2 million with suites are attracting strong demand, particularly in areas like Saanich and Langford. “One of our listings had 18 showings within two weeks,” Scott Faber says. “And we’ve been in multiple-offer situations on several homes under a million dollars, some with suites and some without.” Because of this continued competition in certain segments, preparation remains critical. “If you’re looking for a single-family home, get prepared with a mortgage pre-approval and talk to your real estate professional so you’re ready to act,” Scott Faber advises. Insights for Sellers For sellers considering entering the market this spring, the February activity provides an important takeaway: preparation and presentation matter more than ever. While buyers have more inventory to choose from, homes that are properly priced and move-in ready are still attracting strong interest and selling quickly. Properties that are not show-ready, however, may take longer to move in a market where buyers have more choice. Scott Faber sees this trend clearly when working with clients. “When a home is priced to sell and it’s move-in ready, buyers are moving quickly,” Scott Faber says. “But the homes that aren’t show-ready or require significant updates tend to sit longer because buyers simply have more options right now.” For sellers, this makes professional strategy essential. “I always recommend choosing a professional real estate team that understands how to position your home properly in today’s market,” Scott Faber says. “If your home is well-appointed, marketed correctly, and priced appropriately, you’re going to have a good experience selling.” Market Outlook Looking ahead to the spring market, Greater Victoria appears to be entering a period of stability rather than volatility. The benchmark price for a single-family home in the Victoria Core is now $1,307,400, a modest 0.9 percent decrease from last year, though prices have increased since January. Condominiums show a similar pattern, with a benchmark value of $545,600, down slightly year-over-year but rising month-over-month. Scott Faber believes these numbers reflect a market that is finding its balance. “What we’re seeing right now is a balanced market,” Scott Faber says. “We’re not seeing the large supply increases that some people expected, and when the market is balanced it creates great opportunities for both buyers and sellers.” As the spring market approaches, activity is expected to continue building. Buyers will likely benefit from increased inventory, while sellers who prepare their homes properly can still capture strong demand. Final Thoughts February’s data and on-the-ground experience point to a clear conclusion: the Greater Victoria real estate market remains steady, resilient, and balanced. Buyers now have more options and greater confidence as prices stabilize and inventory expands. Sellers, meanwhile, can still achieve excellent results when their homes are positioned correctly in the marketplace. For those considering a move this year, understanding these local dynamics is critical. If you are thinking about buying or selling in Greater Victoria, connect with Scott Faber and the Faber Real Estate Group for personalized guidance and expert insight into today’s market opportunities. Scott L., 5-Star Review, via Google “I had the pleasure of working with the Faber Group to sell my house, and I couldn't be more pleased with the experience. Cal and Scott from the Faber Group provided exceptional service from start to finish. Their expertise and guidance were instrumental in preparing my home for sale, ensuring it was presented in the best possible light for maximum return on investment. They demonstrated a deep understanding of the market, strategically timing the listing to attract the right buyers. Faber Real Estate Group Royal LePage Coast Capital Realty 📞 250-244-3430 📧[email protected] ℹ️ Scott Faber Personal Real Estate Corporation ℹ️ Cal Faber Personal Real Estate Corporation Vanessa Wood, Zachary Parsons, and Sophie Taylor “Building Lasting Relationships, One Home at a Time.”

Victoria real estate myths can mislead both buyers and sellers. As we move into 2026 in Victoria, British Columbia, market conditions have shifted from the frenzy of earlier years. Here, we address common misconceptions with up-to-date data and practical insights. Myth 1: Prices Always Rise A pervasive belief is that real estate prices in Victoria will only go up. While long-term demographic demand and limited land supply support overall value retention, benchmark prices have not consistently climbed in 2025. Data from late 2025 shows single-family home benchmark prices slightly down year-over-year in the Victoria core and sales slowing, even as detached values remain relatively high. This reflects a stable or mildly softening market rather than unchecked price growth. Pricing is now more balanced, influenced by interest rates, inventory levels and buyers’ ability to act. Expect modest movement rather than guaranteed annual increases in 2026. Myth 2: Condominiums Are Always a Bad Investment Another common idea is that condos are poor investments in Victoria. The condo market did experience significant sales declines in 2025, especially compared to detached homes, and some downtown inventory softened. However, benchmark condo prices have shown mild appreciation in late 2025. Market niche, building quality, location and rental demand all matter for investment outcomes. Victoria’s condo segment can still offer opportunities, particularly where rental returns and future demand align with investor goals. Myth 3: You’ll Always Get Multiple Offers The extreme multiple-offer situations of the early 2020s have largely vanished. In balanced conditions, competitive offers occur but are no longer the norm. Accurate pricing, presentation and a strategic listing approach now drive stronger outcomes — not simply list-and-watch offers flood in. Myth 4: Real Estate Agents Aren’t Needed Anymore With abundant online data, some believe professional representation is optional. In a balanced and nuanced market, expert guidance remains critical for pricing strategy, negotiation and risk management — particularly in Victoria where micro-market variations can be significant. Myth 5: Rental Demand Always Sustains Values The link between rental demand and investment value is not automatic. Broader Canadian trends show rents softening into late 2025 and early 2026, which can temper yield expectations for investors. Conclusion Victoria’s real estate landscape in 2026 is defined by stability and balance, not runaway growth or universal downturns. Dispelling myths with current data helps buyers and investors make informed decisions rather than relying on assumptions rooted in past market behaviour.   Raman B., 5-Star Review, via Google “Faber group is a power house team with motivation, drive and a desire to exceed your needs. This family based business excels in the Victoria real estate market and goes to great lengths to find the perfect property that suits you. I would highly recommend them, 5 out of 5 stars!!” Faber Real Estate Group Royal LePage Coast Capital Realty 📞 250-244-3430 📧[email protected] ℹ️ Scott Faber Personal Real Estate Corporation ℹ️ Cal Faber Personal Real Estate Corporation Vanessa Wood, Zachary Parsons, and Sophie Taylor “Building Lasting Relationships, One Home at a Time.”