Posts Tagged ‘is Victoria BC a buyer’s market’

What Should Buyers and Sellers Expect From Victoria’s Fall 2026 Real Estate Market? The Greater Victoria real estate market entered fall 2026 with a noticeable shift in favour of buyers. Inventory is elevated, sales slowed sharply in September, and buyers generally have more time and more properties to choose from than they did earlier in the year. Sellers can still achieve strong results, but pricing, presentation, and understanding the conditions within your specific neighbourhood have become increasingly important. The biggest takeaway is simple: this is not one Greater Victoria market. A well-priced detached home in Saanich can behave very differently from a downtown Victoria condo, a Langford townhome, or a property in Sooke. If you are comparing different areas, our Greater Victoria Neighbourhood Guide breaks down communities throughout Victoria, Saanich, the Westshore, Sooke and surrounding areas. Understanding those local differences matters more than any single market headline. Is Victoria BC Currently a Buyer’s Market? The September numbers moved Greater Victoria into buyer’s market territory, according to the Victoria Real Estate Board. A total of 463 properties sold in September 2026, down 16.4% from September 2025 and 21.7% from August. At the same time, the number of active listings climbed to 3,811, up 4.1% from August and 3.2% from the same time last year. VREB noted that inventory outpaced sales by a degree the region has not experienced in years. Excluding the unusual conditions at the beginning of the pandemic, September marked the first time Victoria had entered buyer’s market territory since January 2015. VREB also cautioned that one month does not necessarily establish a longer-term trend. That does not mean every buyer suddenly has unlimited negotiating power. It means the balance between supply and demand has changed. Buyers are generally facing less competition, while sellers are competing more directly with other available properties. Victoria Real Estate Market September 2026 at a Glance September recorded: 463 total residential sales 239 single-family home sales 137 condominium sales 3,811 active listings Single-family home sales declined 17.3% compared with September 2025, while condo sales declined 11%. That combination matters. Higher inventory gives buyers more alternatives. Lower sales activity means those listings are being absorbed more slowly. Together, those conditions tend to create more negotiating room for buyers and make accurate pricing increasingly important for sellers. For additional context on how changing market conditions affect a move, see our guide on how to buy or sell with confidence in Greater Victoria. Are Victoria Home Prices Falling? Some prices have softened, but the numbers do not point to the same trend across every property type. The MLS® Home Price Index benchmark for a single-family home in the Victoria Core was $1,280,100 in September 2026, down 2% from $1,306,500 in September 2025. It was also down from $1,301,800 in August. For condominiums, the Victoria Core benchmark was $547,800, up 1% from September 2025 but down from $553,600 in August. This is an important distinction. A buyer’s market does not automatically mean prices fall dramatically. Market conditions often change before prices do. Properties may first take longer to sell, experience fewer competing offers, require price adjustments, or sell with more buyer-friendly terms. VREB also cautions against using one month of market data to determine the value of an individual property. The condition, location, price range, property type and immediate competition can all change the picture. What We Expect From the Victoria Real Estate Market This Fall Based on current conditions, we expect October and November to remain favourable for prepared buyers, particularly if inventory stays elevated and sales activity remains subdued. However, there is an important seasonal factor working in the opposite direction. Greater Victoria typically sees inventory decline as the market moves closer to winter. VREB specifically noted that qualified buyers shopping now may have a wider selection than they will later in the year. That creates an interesting window. Buyers currently have relatively strong selection and negotiating conditions. If inventory begins falling through November and December, there may be fewer homes available even if overall demand remains relatively soft. For sellers, we do not expect the remainder of fall to reward aggressive pricing. Instead, homes that are well positioned against their direct competition are likely to have the clearest advantage. What Does the Fall Market Mean for Victoria Home Buyers? For buyers, this may be one of the more interesting periods we have seen in Greater Victoria in several years. More inventory gives buyers the ability to compare properties instead of feeling pressured to make a decision simply because there are few alternatives. It may also create greater flexibility around negotiations. Depending on the property, buyers may have more opportunity to negotiate: Purchase price Completion and possession dates Included items Financing conditions Inspection conditions Other terms that may have been more difficult to secure in a highly competitive market But a slower market is not a reason to stop paying attention to good properties. Well-priced, well-maintained homes can still attract strong interest. The goal should not simply be to find the seller willing to accept the biggest discount. A better question is: Which property offers the strongest combination of price, condition, location, future resale potential and terms? That is where increased choice can become a real advantage. If you are preparing to purchase, learn more about buying a home with Faber Real Estate Group. Should Buyers Wait for Victoria Home Prices to Drop Further? There is no reliable way to know whether a specific home will cost less several months from now. Waiting can make sense when your finances, employment, down payment, or personal timeline are not ready. Waiting simply because the overall market has become more buyer-friendly is a different decision. If prices soften further but the home you want is no longer available, inventory falls, or borrowing costs change, the result may not necessarily be better. For qualified buyers, fall 2026 is less about trying to perfectly time the bottom of the market and more about using the current conditions to make a disciplined purchase. What Does the Fall Market Mean for Victoria Home Sellers? For sellers, the strategy has changed. When inventory is limited, buyers have fewer alternatives. When nearly 3,800 properties are available across the VREB region, your home has to compete more directly for attention. That makes the first few weeks of a listing especially important. Buyers can quickly compare your property against competing homes based on: Price Condition Location Layout Renovations Outdoor space Parking Strata costs Age Overall presentation Overpricing a property simply to “leave room to negotiate” can have the opposite effect. It may cause buyers to focus on better-positioned alternatives. The strongest fall selling strategy starts with understanding the current competition, not simply looking at what a similar property sold for six months ago. We explored this strategy further in our guide to selling your home faster when buyers have more choice. If you are considering selling, you can also learn more about selling your home with Faber Real Estate Group. Should You Sell Your Victoria Home This Fall or Wait Until Spring? There is no universal answer. Spring normally brings more buyers into the market, but it can also bring significantly more competing listings. Fall often has fewer total buyers, but those who remain active may have stronger motivation and clearer timelines. Your decision should depend on: Why you are selling Your desired timeline What type of property you own Where the property is located Your property's current competition Whether you are also buying another home For someone selling and buying in the same market, softer conditions can actually create an interesting trade-off. You may need to be more realistic when selling your current home, but you could gain negotiating power when purchasing the next one. Looking at both sides of the move together often gives a much clearer picture than focusing only on the sale price of your existing home. What Role Will Interest Rates Play This Fall? Interest rates remain one of the biggest variables affecting buyer confidence and purchasing power. As of October 8, 2026, the Bank of Canada’s target for the overnight rate is 2.25%, where it has remained since late 2025. A stable Bank of Canada rate does not necessarily mean mortgage rates will remain unchanged. Fixed mortgage rates are influenced by bond markets and broader economic expectations, while variable-rate products are more directly connected to movements in the Bank of Canada policy rate. For buyers, that makes mortgage planning just as important as negotiating the purchase price. A lower purchase price is valuable, but the overall affordability of a home also depends on your financing, down payment, monthly carrying costs, property taxes, strata fees where applicable, and long-term plans. Is the Victoria Real Estate Market Expected to Recover? The broader provincial outlook points toward gradual improvement rather than a sudden rebound. BCREA’s third-quarter forecast projects BC residential sales to decline 1.2% in 2026 before increasing 7.5% in 2027. BCREA has described the expected recovery as slow and gradual, while noting that active listings remain near their highest levels since 2015. That does not mean Victoria will follow the provincial forecast exactly. Greater Victoria has its own supply, affordability, employment, demographic, and neighbourhood dynamics. It does suggest that buyers and sellers should be cautious about assuming the market will suddenly return to the competitive conditions experienced during the pandemic years. Why Victoria’s Micro-Markets Matter More Than the Headline One of the biggest mistakes buyers and sellers can make is treating Greater Victoria as a single market. Consider the differences between: Victoria Oak Bay Saanich View Royal Langford Colwood Sidney Sooke Then consider the differences between a detached home, condo, townhome, new construction property, waterfront home, or entry-level property. Each can have a different level of inventory, buyer demand, price sensitivity, and negotiating power. Even within the same municipality, two neighbourhoods can behave differently. Our Greater Victoria Neighbourhood Guide can help you compare communities, while our guide to up-and-coming neighbourhoods in Greater Victoria looks more closely at areas attracting buyer attention. That is why the question should not simply be: “Is Victoria a buyer’s market?” A better question is: “What are the market conditions for the type of property I am buying or selling, in the neighbourhood and price range I am considering?” That answer is considerably more useful. Our Fall 2026 Victoria Real Estate Market Forecast For the remainder of fall, we expect Greater Victoria to remain a market where buyers generally have more choice and negotiating power, while sellers need to compete more carefully on price, condition and presentation. Inventory will be the number to watch. If listings begin their normal seasonal decline while sales stabilize, the gap between supply and demand could narrow heading into winter. If sales remain subdued while inventory stays unusually high, buyer-friendly conditions could continue. Either way, September should not be viewed as proof that every home in Greater Victoria is suddenly worth less. It is evidence that the market has changed, and strategies need to change with it. For buyers, that means using increased choice to make better decisions rather than rushing. For sellers, it means understanding your competition, pricing from current evidence, and making sure your home gives buyers a clear reason to choose it. Frequently Asked Questions About the Victoria BC Real Estate Market Is Victoria BC a buyer’s market in fall 2026? Yes. Based on September 2026 data, the Victoria Real Estate Board reported that Greater Victoria had moved into buyer’s market territory. However, VREB also cautioned that one month does not establish a longer-term trend, and conditions can vary significantly by neighbourhood, property type and price range. Are Victoria BC home prices going down? Some segments have softened. The September 2026 benchmark price for a single-family home in the Victoria Core was down 2% year over year, while the condominium benchmark remained 1% higher than September 2025. Both benchmarks declined compared with August 2026. Is fall 2026 a good time to buy a home in Victoria? For qualified buyers, current conditions provide more inventory and generally less competition than Victoria has experienced in tighter markets. Whether it is the right time personally depends on your finances, timeline, property requirements and long-term plans. Start with our Greater Victoria homebuyer resources if you are preparing to purchase. Is fall a good time to sell a home in Victoria? It can be. Motivated buyers remain active during the fall, but sellers are currently facing more competition from other listings. Accurate pricing, strong presentation and understanding your specific market segment are particularly important. Learn more about our approach to selling homes in Greater Victoria. Will Victoria real estate prices fall in 2027? No one can predict future Victoria home prices with certainty. BCREA currently forecasts a gradual improvement in provincial home sales in 2027, but local prices will depend on inventory, buyer demand, mortgage rates, economic conditions and the specific Greater Victoria micro-market. Thinking About Buying or Selling in Greater Victoria? Market headlines are useful for context, but the decision that matters is what is happening in your specific neighbourhood, property type and price range. If you are considering buying or selling in Greater Victoria this fall, our team can provide a current market analysis based on the properties you are actually competing with or considering. Contact Faber Real Estate Group to discuss your next move and build a strategy around today’s market conditions.   Megan W.., 5-Star Review, via Google “As first-time home buyers, we couldn't have asked for a better realtor than Zach Parsons and the Faber Real Estate Group! From day one, Zach made us feel completely supported. He answered every question with patience, gave honest advice, and never made us feel pressured. We put our full trust in him, and he absolutely did not disappoint."   Faber Real Estate Group Royal LePage Coast Capital Realty 📞 250-244-3430 📧 [email protected] ℹ️ Scott Faber PREC ℹ️ Cal Faber PREC Vanessa Wood, Zachary Parsons, Sophie Taylor Building Lasting Relationships, One Home at a Time.