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    Inflation, Interest Rates, and Home Buying: Should You Wait?
    April 10, 2026

    Inflation in Canada has eased significantly from the highs people were dealing with in earlier years. Statistics Canada reported that the Consumer Price Index rose 1.8 percent year over year in February 2026, down from 2.3 percent in January. On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, CPI rose 0.1 percent in February. The Bank of Canada continues to target 2 percent inflation over time, so current inflation is much closer to that normal range than it was during the more volatile period buyers remember. That does not mean everything feels cheap. Many households are still feeling the cumulative effect of higher prices, especially for food, insurance, and everyday living costs. But from a policy and planning perspective, inflation is much calmer than it was when uncertainty was peaking. What about interest rates? The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25 percent on March 18, 2026. In that same announcement, it said inflation is expected to remain near the 2 percent target, while also noting that global risks, including conflict in the Middle East and energy-price volatility, are adding uncertainty to the outlook. For buyers, that means rates are no longer in the same shock phase they were in when borrowing costs were rising rapidly. That is helpful. But it does not mean the economy is fully predictable, and it likely never will be. The market is still adjusting, and buyers still need to make decisions based on their own affordability rather than on the hope that the perfect rate environment is just around the corner. What is happening in the Greater Victoria market? Locally, the market is giving buyers more room than it did in tighter years. The Victoria Real Estate Board reported 579 sales in March 2026, up 24.5 percent from February, with 3,261 active listings at month end, up 12.3 percent month over month and 7.9 percent year over year. VREB described the market as offering good supply and reasonable demand, creating opportunities for both buyers and sellers. That matters because a more balanced market can reduce one kind of risk. Buyers often have more time to compare properties, review documents carefully, and make decisions with less pressure. BCREA has also said inventory across BC is near its highest level in more than a decade and expects markets to remain broadly balanced in 2026, with supply helping keep price growth more tempered. So, should you wait until things are more certain? For most buyers, waiting for full certainty is not a real strategy. It is a way of postponing a hard decision. There are always reasons to wait: inflation could change rates could shift prices could soften the economy could strengthen the economy could weaken The problem is that certainty usually becomes visible only after the best window has already passed. Markets move before confidence returns. That does not mean you should rush. It means waiting should be based on something specific, not on a vague hope that the world will suddenly feel simple again. When waiting may make sense Waiting can be reasonable if: your job or income feels unstable your down payment is not yet where it needs to be your monthly payment would feel too stretched you may need to move again in the short term you are not clear on what you want to buy or where In those situations, waiting is not fear-based. It is strategic. Buying a home should support your life, not strain it beyond what feels manageable. When buying now may make sense Buying now may make sense if: your employment and income are stable you have your down payment ready you can comfortably handle today’s payment you plan to stay in the home for several years you are buying based on lifestyle and long-term goals, not short-term headlines In a more balanced market, buyers often have something valuable that disappears in hotter conditions: time. Time to compare. Time to negotiate. Time to think more clearly. That can be a meaningful advantage, especially if you are prepared. The bigger risk is often buying the wrong way, not buying at the wrong time A lot of buyers worry about whether now is the perfect time to buy. In practice, the bigger issue is often whether they buy the right property, at a payment they can handle, with a strategy that matches their goals. That is a more useful standard than trying to predict the exact next move in inflation or rates. The strongest buyers in uncertain markets are usually not the ones who feel no concern. They are the ones who prepare well, understand their numbers, and act when the property and the plan both make sense. What inflation means for buyers in practical terms If inflation stays closer to target, that can help support a more stable borrowing and planning environment. If inflation rises again, that could put renewed pressure on rates and affordability. Right now, the signal is calmer than it was before, but not completely risk-free. That is why buyers should focus less on guessing the economy and more on stress-testing their own budget. A good question to ask is not just, “Can I qualify?” It is, “Will this still feel manageable if my costs rise, my plans change, or the economy stays uneven for longer than expected?” Final thought Buying a home in the current economy does not require perfect certainty. It requires a clear understanding of your finances, your timeline, and what today’s market is actually offering. Inflation in Canada has cooled closer to normal levels, the Bank of Canada is holding its policy rate at 2.25 percent, and Greater Victoria buyers currently have more choice than they did in tighter markets. That does not make the decision automatic, but it does mean buyers can make more deliberate decisions than they could in more rushed conditions. If you are trying to decide whether now is the right time to buy in Greater Victoria, contact Faber Real Estate Group for advice that looks at your budget, goals, and today’s market conditions in a practical way. Ola A., 5-Star Review, via Google “We had a great experience working with Scott from Faber real estate group to purchase our new home. Scott was professional, knowledgeable, and responsive. He had an impressive expertise in the local market and always made us feel like a top priority. His negotiation skills were outstanding, and he took care of every detail, from arranging inspections to researching potential issues with the property. Throughout the process, Scott was patient, understanding, and went above and beyond to provide us with extra resources and options.” Faber Real Estate Group Royal LePage Coast Capital Realty 📞 250-244-3430 📧[email protected] ℹ️ Scott Faber Personal Real Estate Corporation ℹ️ Cal Faber Personal Real Estate Corporation Vanessa Wood, Zachary Parsons, and Sophie Taylor “Building Lasting Relationships, One Home at a Time.”

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